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STAR GATE
Subsequent Conferees Language
DIA to transfer 10 billets, $500K to CIA
DO to give status report by March 1 st
Transfer management of Star Gate July I st
Adopt all previous SAC language
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Proposed Management Strategy
~ Terminate remote viewing operations within
Intelligence Community (IC)
~ Terminate research and development relating
to remote-viewing within IC
~ Complete declassification review of all CIA,
DOD files; 4-man yrs, $400K in FY96, 97
Apply no immediate resources to assessments
of foreign developments in parapsychology
SECRET
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Basis of Key Recommendations
~ Blue Ribbon Panel Review by American
Institutes of Research, Key Scientists
~ Recent Foreign Assessment by National
Intelligence Council: NIO/S&T, OSWR
~ Specific Language of the Congressionally
Directed Action
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STAR GATE
Blue-Ribbon Panel
Dr. Jessica Uttsl Professor of statistics, Univ. of
CA/Davis; Primary Proponent
Dr. Ray Hyman., Professor of psychology, Univ.
of Oregon; Primary Skeptic
Dr. Lincoln Moses, Professor Emeritus of
Statistics, Stanford Univ.
Dr. David Goslin, former Exec. Dir., Commission
,on Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education,,
NRC
Dr. Michael Mumford, Ph.D. Psychology
e Dr. Andrew Rose, Ph.D. Psychology
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AIR's Directed Objectives
~ Comprehensive technical evaluation of
remote viewing R&D at CIA and DIA
~ Evaluation of remote viewing's utility in
intelligence operati 9ons regardless of
scientific validity
~ Recommend to CIA management strategies
for possible program execution at CIA
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STAR GATE
AIR R&D Review Process
SAIC principal investigator asked to
identify 10 most favorable documents
Detailed bibliographies made of all relevant
CIA, DIA-documents
~ Key CIA, DIA documents declassified
~ Over 80 documents ultimately declassified,
transferred to blue ribbon panel
~ Panel given every document requested
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AIR R&D Review Process, Cont.
~ Blue Ribbon Panel met formally, reviewed
CIA objectives, program documents, got
presentation from SAIC (R&D contractor)
~ Professors- Utts and Hyman commissioned
to write separate detailed reviews
~ Commissioned reviews exchanged, rebuttals
permitted, AIR arbitrated final conclusions
for CIA key recommendations
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STAR GATE
AIR Operational Utility Evaluation
~ DIA program manager asked to identify
most favorable users of remote viewing
~ AIR conducted standard interviews of these
users on location with CIA present
~ AIR interviewed Star Gate remote viewers,
and program manager
~ AIR re-examined CIA's independent utility
study based on documented user evaluations
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STAR GATE
Dr. Utts' Conclusions
Asserted that "Psychic functioning" is well-
established
~ Observed that statistical results obtained
were far beyond chance expectations
~ Refuted argument that methodological flaws
or fraud could account for results
~ Claimed some SRI, SAIC results were
replicated in other labs
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Dr. Hyman's Conclusions
~ Recent SAIC results are methodologically
superior to previously flawed SRI work
~ New results are statistically significant
~ Results hampered by secrecy, experimental
data base has had no community peer
review, no public scrutiny
Better than chance results do not, by
themselves, establish that a paranormal
phenomenon is the cause
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Dr. Hyman s Review, Cont.
~ Use of same'judge" during all SAIC
experiments is possible serious flaw
~ "Remote viewing," as opposed to Ganzfeld,
has not been replicated in other labs
~ Boundary conditions, i.e., when and where
remote viewing can reliably occur, have not
been defined
~ Possibility of methodological flaw in results
has not been eliminated
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AIR's Judgments on
Commissioned R&D Reviews
Reviewers agree more than they disagree:
- Statistically significant results
- Vast improvement in experimental protocols
Reviewers disagree on key points:
- Establishment of paranormal causality
- Replication of "remote viewing" in other labs
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AIR's Judgments on
Commissioned R&D Reviews
AIR independently concludes:
- the data do not establish that a paranormal
phenomenon is involved, nature of source not
identified
- the data have not been replicated independently
- the boundary constraints critical to obtaining
statistically significant experimental results are
not practical in real world of intelligence
collection
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Future Reseanrch and Development
SAIC's exp. results must be replicated in an
independent lab, not SAIC (RH, AIR)
Experimental protocols must be re-judged
by independent judge (RH, JU, AIR)
Cloak of secrecy must be removed since it
precludes objective community review (RH)
AIR concluded future R&D should not take
place within Intelligence Community since
20 years of IC investment failed to establish
a paranormal phenomenon.
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STAR GATE
AIR's User Interviews
~ Users say remote viewers typically give
descriptions too broad and vague to be
useful as intelligence
~ Remote viewers provide much inaccurate,
irrelevant; information making it difficult to
interpret by analysts
~ Different remote viewers often inconsistent
~ In no case, analyzed by AIR, did the user
actually act on remote viewing information
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AIR's Conclusions on Utility
~ Conditions under which remote viewing is
observed in the lab do not apply in the
operational environment
~ The users found some accuracy on broad
backgrourid characteristics., but not the
concrete, specific information valued by
intelligence collectors
~ Since remote viewing typically does not
produce actionable information, it should
not be used operationally
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STAR GATE
Further Declassification
Congressionally Directed Action:
- The Committee believes it's time for re-
evaluation of the classification of both the
program and its findings
- DO should review history and nature of
program to see which parts can be declassified
Dr. Hyman's findings:
Secrecy has kept this program from benefiting
from the checks and balances that come from
doing research in a public forum.
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Future Foreign Assessments
Based on recent assessment, National
Intelligence Council concludes and
Directorate of Intelligence concurs that no
immediate resources should be applied to
assessments of foreign developments in
parapsychology.
Assessment had oversight of NIO/S&T and
OSWR
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STAR GATE
Congressionally Directed Action
(SAC)
~ DCI to conduct review of technical files
going back 20 years at CIA, DIA
~ DCI to review program history and nature
to determine what can be declassified
~ Director of DIA to establish cooperative
activity with Russians
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