Q ro 028 = Approved For Release 200310#k§-~IN)k-KDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY UNITED STATES ARMY INTELLIGENCE AND THREAT ANALYSIS CENTER ARLINGTON HALL STATION ARLINGTON, VIRGINIA 22212 IAX-TA-R SG1A 4 December 1980 SUBJECT: Special Analytic Report I THRU: Chief, Special Research Division Room B5E32, NSA FANX III Fort Meade, MD 20755 TO: Commander US Army Intelligence and Threat Analysis Center Arlington Hall Station Arl i ngton, VA 22212 SG1A 1. (S) The attached report forwards the evaluation of Grill Flame Special Analytic Report Information,l I The information which was provided on target size, type, and mission has a high degree of correlation with other sources of information. While there is no confirming data of the target's location, I believe the source to be accurate and recommend that the information be used to fill a known intelligence gap. SG1A 2. (S) Thel --------I(GOB) Task Force is updating the ground order of battle forl - - I 1his update SG1 will be published as a supplement to the GOB project. Considering the AG1 SG1A reliability of the information provided bLyU-eSpecial Actions Office, A ADCSOPS, INSCOM, the results Of I ]will be included in the supplement. Use of this information will be an intelligence community "f i rst. " 3. (U) I recommend that this evaluation be forwarded to LTC Watt, Chief, Special Actions, ADCSOPS, INSCOM. @@,J 140, 1 Incl PAUL S. FEYEFEISEN as MAJ- INE C GOB Task Force SG1 A -------------- CLASSIFIED BY r. rm fill "W= k, (a Approved For Release 2070J%/'/dP tl'A-Rn ------- Approved For Release IMUQM I UVV @-00788ROO0400060004-9 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS IAOPS-H-S 2 December 1980 SUBJECT: Special Analytic Report Information (U) SECTION I REPORT REQUIREMENT 1. (U) The information provided as enclosure to this report was obtained in response to a collection requirement provided by your office. The information is from an unconfirmed source; therefore, caution is warranted in its use. This office has been tasked by the Commanding General, Intelligence and Security Command, to evaluate and comment on the operational value of the information provided, as well as to ascertain the accuracy of the source. 2. (U) In order to comply with this directive, request the information provided as an enclosure be evaluated and comments be provided this office no later than This should be accomplished by responding to questions pro- vided within Section III of this report. 3. (U) Section II contains special instructions for the analysts. SG1A 4. (U) Project Number: 5. (U) Requestor: SRD, ITAC, INSCOM. 6. (S) Source Number: 08/46. 7. (S) Interrogator Number: 14. B. (S) Date Information was Obtained: 4 Sep 80. Times: FM --- /TO:--- 9. (S) Specific information provided by the requestor in support of required SG1 A SG1A source targeting is: SG1A E_- 10. (U) Specific information provided to the interrogator to aid in source targeting was: same as #9. 11. (U) Specific information provided to the source for target orientation was: same as #9. CLASSIFIED BY: Msgl HQDA(DAMI-ISH) Dated: 051630ZJUL78 REVIEW ON: 2 Dec 2000 Approved For Rel !NinqtiQLA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 lcpff?v WELAIrBL%of I A ET I@E I A 17 A T T nX ATA Q C70 Q Q r= Approved For Release 2WAwW. 1:1)k4&QP16-00788ROO0400060004-9 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS SG1 12. (U) Specific information requested by analyst:1 13. (U) Date information forwarded: 14. (U) Has additional data been requested: no. 15. (U) Priority: URGENT ROUTINE 16. (S) Remarks: Source 08/46 conducted two sessions on 4 Sep 80. This SG1B evaluation is based an information provided by source in both sessions. The targel _1was addressed in both sessions. SECTION II INSTRUCTIONS TO ANALYSTS 1. (U) The material you have been given to review has been acquired from a new and potentially valuable source of intelligence. Work is currently being con- ducted on how to improve the accuracy and reliability of the data. Your atten- tion to the evaluation sheet and your remarks will be the basis for our assessment of this new collection technique. Therefore, the effort you expend will greatly assist us and will ultimately result in you receiving more information of increas- ing accuracy and reliability. 2. (U) While formulating your judgements concerning the information provided, the following comments concerning this new source of intelligence may be helpful. Foremost, the information is likely to consist of a mixture of correct and in- correct elements. Specifically: a. (S) The descriptive elements are generally of higher reliability than judgements or labels as to what is being described (recreational swimming pool may be mistaken for water purification pools, an aircraft hull may be mistaken for a submarine hull, etc.). Therefore, seemingly appropriate descriptive elements should not be rejected because of mislabeling. b. (5) The data often contains gaps (in a 3-building complex, for examplev perhaps only two of the buildings may be describedt and an airfield may be added that isn't there). Such gaps or additions should not be taken to mean that the rest of the data is necessarily inaccurate. 3. (S) Therefore, a recommended approach is to first examine the entire information packet to obtain an overall flavor of the response, reserving final judgement even in the face of certain errors, and then go back through for a more detailed analysis. 4. (U) If you have questions regarding the data you have received, or its evaluation please contact this office (IAOPS-H-S) at any time. 2 Approved For Release t;0Q=9M I-A -PMP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 F- r-Nw @ -Z@- %.J I %.J AA Mn rr lZIMV. A=_-r,7 1Filp-L01 NATIONAW Approved For Releasie OIU.UWY.lt-.IMMTVT-ft788ROO0400060004-9 NOT RELEASABLE TO FOREIGN NATIONALS SECTION III TARGET EVALUATION 1. (U) For the summary evaluationt please check the following boxes as to the ACCURACY* of the submitted material. a. (S) Geographical locale des- cription (terrain, water, etc.) b. (S) Large-scale manmade elements (cities, buildings, silos, docks, railroad lineso airfields, etc.) C. (S) Small-scale manmade elements (antennas, computerst tanks$ missiles, offices, etc.) d. (S) General target ambience (research, production, administration, storage, troop movements, naval activity, air activity, weapons testing, etc.) UNK 0 1 2 3 N/A X X e. (S) Relevant specific activities (nuclear testing, missile firing, CBW storage, ELINT monitoring, etc.) X X X f. (S) Personality (physical des- criptions, actions@ responsibilities, X plans, etc.) 2. (S) Overall Utility: NONE MARGINAL USEFUL VERY USEFUL X CANNOT BE DETERMINED N 0 T E: ITAC provided the following comments. 3 *Definitions for the accuracy scale are as follows: O=Little correspondence (self-explanatory) I=Mixed results (mix of correct and incorrect elements, but enough of the former to indicate source did collect against target.) 2=Good (Good correspondence with several elements matching, some incorrect information.) 3=Excellent (Good correspondence with unambiguous unique matchable elements and rela- tiv9 0*@4,t t * f r ti v iNogec 4n o m UNK=Unkn a _WX&iA@.Wr^4Tr@WM"0400060004-9 NOT RELEASt@BLE- To FOpX'jGN N_AT1' SG113 Approved For Release 2003/09/09 : CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 Next 3 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/09/09 : CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 Approved For Release 2003/091/09 : CIA-RDP96-00788ROOQ4PO060004-9 122mm howitzer D-30. I"i gure 2 U W, Approved For Release 2003/09/09 CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 122m?n mult'Ple rocket launch., gu-re Approved For Release 2003/09/09 CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 130mm field gun M-46- Figure 3 Approved For Release 2003/09/09 CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 SG113 Approved For Release 2003/09/09 : CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9 Next 1 Page(s) In Document Exempt Approved For Release 2003/09/09 : CIA-RDP96-00788ROO0400060004-9