Approved For Release 200=E
1lA-RDP96-00789R002900260004-9
KEY INTELLIGENCE TASK (91008)
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Will there be any significant terrorist activity in
the near future (20 Jan 91 >< 1 Feb 91).
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source a Assessment (DOI: 21 Jan 91):
a. No significant terrorist activity is expected
through 31 Jan 91.
b. A large city (probably London) may experience
terrorist activity after 31 Jan 91.
C. Terrorist activity will probably spread to the US,
though use of chemical devices are not anticipated.
initial targets could involve nuclear power plants and
possibly nuclear storage/development areas.
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(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source D Assessment (DOI, 21 Jan 91):
a. Cargo ships are rigged with H.E. gas-type explosives
-(probably-in, or soon in, UK, US harbors).
b. Israel delegation to UN is main personnel target.
c. A large hotel in Paris is targeted.
d. School areas of Germany are targeted (Wiesbaden,
Augsburg).
e. Greece and Italian military areas and city,location
are targbted (via common delivery trucks).
f. NY and DC areas'are targeted (main access probably
via waterways).
(S/NF/LIMDIS) Source E Assessment (DOI: 17 Jan 91):
a. , Hussein has _placed. CW/BW devices on -various cargo or
empty oil tankers that are (or will be) in various
worldwide ports.
b. Hussein does have a few "dirty" nuclear devices that
he plans to move via ships, trucks to various worldwide
locations.
C. Libya will soon join in the conflict .(probably via
R
LIMITED D1AiV01dWd%br Release 20a'I" CIA-RDP96-00789ROO2900260004-9
Approved For Release 2003/Oitai-RDP96-00789ROO2900260004-9
terrorist support), and will also play a role in attack
of US ships in the Red Sea or Mediterranean Sea area.
d. -Jordan,-or po!3sibly Iran, amy'also havd-an:emerging
role'in future support of-Iraqi activities..
e. Terrorist activity will be coordinated worldwide.
Leading target areas are:
- water supplies, food source.
- oil fields or supply lines.
f. In general:
Iraq may consider attacking allied ship-in
the Gulf and Red Sea. ...This may involve
coordinated -afrjs ship and possibly missile'
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Approved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO2900260004-9
Approved For Release 2003/09/11 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO2900260004-9