Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 - - - - KNOTONOFORN SPECIAL ACCESS REQUIRED WARNING NOTICE: INTELLIGENCE SOURCES A14D METHODS INVOLVED ----------- PROJECT NUMBER: 9o10A.-B ----------------------------- SESSION NUMBER: I DATE OF SESSION: 22' OCT 90 DATE OF REPORT: 2-3 OCT 90 START: 1511. END: 1521 METHODOLOGY: WRV VIEWER IDENTIFIER: 079 1. (S/NF) MISSION: Describe the nature of any terrorist activity, if any, which may be planned and directed against US and coalition forces in Saudi Arabia. If activity will occur, give location(s) and indicators. 2. (S/NF) VIEWER TASKINGt None initially. Cue was given late in session to address -terrorist activity in particular, as it applied to the immediate future of the tar-get which 079 had already identified. 3. (S/NF) COMMENTSg No Physical Inclemencies reported. Standard WRV session. 079 identified and described the major future eventsi, of the target area, to include reference to an Afghani incursion westward (into Iran) which may alter Iran's involvement, while bringing a new player into the present mid-east conflict. Late in the session, I cued 079 to specifically address the question of terrorism. Session transcript and viewer's summary are attached. 4. (S/NF) EVALUATION: 5. (S/NF) SEARCH EVALUATION: Monitor: 018 Proj Mgr: 018 CLASSIFIED BY: DIA (DT) DECLASSIFY: OADR NOFORN SPECIAL ACCESS REQUIRED Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 =AVmVwTm6NOF0RN WORKING PAPER 90104-B 901022 V: 079 S: 0# SUMMARY OF INFORMATION At this time, there is not any planned and directed terrorist activity against US and coalition forces in Saudi Arabia. Other scenarios will come into play. They are as follows: - Afghanistan will "push through their border area to the west" and this will be another hot spot in the very near future. - There is unrest in the Yemens. They Yemens may be hot spot in the near future. - The PLO is acting favorably towards the US during this crises. - The Israeli's will stop their incursions. - Iran will be quiet during the crises. Iran is not taking or deciding sides at this time. The United Nations have very difficult decisions to make and it will force Middle East countries to work situations out between themselves and to stop looking to the "west" for help. There will come a time when land or boundaries or borders will be different in the Middle East than the way that they currently exist. Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789RO00800070w~~ VO 'S Approved For Release 2000/08/08 CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 CIA-RDP96-00789ROO080007000 --S~ _2, 17 -53 r7 t2d-2- k, C-(-),~~ ~I ,',( , / Approved For Release 2000/08/08 A-c) sd~ , , 6, / r : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 CIA-RDP96-00789ROO080007000 5 C~j 4 FYI ec Approved For Release 2000/08/08 CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002 5 C-- 6,) A Approved For Release 2000/08/08 CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 fD Approved For Release 2000/08/08 CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 Approved For Release MOMS= : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5 PROJECT 90104 SUMMARY - 30 OCT 90 (SINF) TASK A: a. (SINF) OBJECTIVE: Describe indicators of possible Iraqi preemptive attack. b. (SINF) RESPONSE: Preemptive attack is not anticipated for near future (i.e; next 3-4 wks). C. (U) DATE OF LAST RESPONSE: 23 Oct 1990 d. (U) COMM§,UjZA,,Task can be updated in 2-3 weeks, if de-ael-red. 2. (S/NF) TASK B: T INF) BASK a NF ) B' CTIV] a. (SINF) TIVE: Assess Iraqi use of terrorists. S1 P) 0 L IN R2SPONS2: /NF) RESPONSE:- 0 Terrorist activity against US and coalition forces is NOT anticipated for near future. 0 There may be terrorist'support/development activity, or possibly some type of future staging, in vicinity ofBiji.,,-r Tikrit:- Al Fatha (NW of Bagdad). :Ad+,i-vi.t' has:' - Chemical association - Cylindrical objects/equ4pment.involv-ed. - Sensing/detection equipment i,nvolved.-.. P c (U) DATE OF LAST RESPONSE:.~ 23 Oct~'90 d. (U) COMMENTS: Task cdnlbe~ uip'-dat' 'd-in" e 2~3 weeks,-. desired. CLASSIFIED BY: DIA/DT- DECLASSIFY BY.- OADR 7. 17,-- 7 AC' 7- V 7-,.r orn . Mr WOTTZ nr.A,,IA'BT;MTOVoM',T(,117TrATTt)RATg ENCLOSURE 1 Approved for Release 2000/08/08 : CIA-RDP96-00789ROO0800070002-5