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Interim Report- Lobjective E, Task 1 December 1986
Covering the Period 1 October 1985 to 30 September 1986
AN EXPERIMENT TO EXPLORE POSSIBLE
ANOMALISTIC BEHAVIOR OF A PHOTON DETECTION
SYSTEM DURING A REMOTE VIEWING TEST (U)
Prepared for:
SRI Project 1291
Approved by:
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III RESULTS (U)
A. (U) Remote viewing Results
(U) Four viewers were asked to 'contribute six viewings each. in this experiment, the
personnel consisted of four of the best viewers participating in Ongoing RV programs at SRI.
(U) Each RV session was judged using a figure of merit analysis. The FM is defined as
the product of two measures: accuracy and reliability. The accuracy of an RV response is the
fraction of the target material that is described correctly. Reliability is the fraction of the
response that is correct. 11 2 Tables I through 4 show the RV results for each trial. The
session number (9001.cr, etc.) incorporates a code for each viewer as well as the
chronological sequence of viewings.
Table 1
goo (U) REMOTE VIEWING RESULTS FOR VIEWER 009
goo
Session Figure-of-Meritp-value
9001.lg 0.5714 0.6238
9002.lg 0.3810 0.1961
9003.1g 0.4444 0.0497
9004.lg 0.3333 0.3650
9005.lg 0.0667 0.9233
9006.1g 0.3556 0.2697
Overall p
::!~ 0.0450
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Table 2
(U) REMOTE VIEWING RESULTS FOR VIEWER 105
Session Figure-of-Merit P-value
9001.rs 0.4571 0.0412
9002.rs 0.1667 0.3486
9003.rs 0.1600 0.3618
9004.rs 0.3333 0.1039
9005.rs 0.0000 1.0000
9006.rs 0.3810 0.0475
Overall p
:!g 0.0488
Table 3
(U) REMOTE VIEWING RESULTS FOR VIEWER 177
Session Figure-of-Merit p-value
9001.hs 0.4444 0.2430
9002.hs 0.1143 0.9579
9003.hs 0.3810 0.2978
9004.hs 0.5000 0.2392
9005.hs 0.5952 0.0677
9006.hs 0.6429 0.0136
Overall p
:!~g 0.0385
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Table 4
(U) REMOTE VIEWING RESULTS VIEWER
FOR 807
Session Figure-of-Merit p-value
9001.cr 0.0000 1.0000
9002.cr 0.3333 0.2267
9003.cr 0.5208 0.0240
9004.cr 0.0833 0.7494
9005.cr 0.3750 0.1321
9006.cr 0.1333 0.5911
Overall p 0.1895, n .s.
(U) From the FM analysis performed for our FY 1984 experiment, we determined that
by computing the p-value for each FM we could determine an average p for each viewer and
for all sessions combined. The overall probability of obtaining that average p-value was then
calculated, either by an exact method for small numbers of sessionS7 or by using the central
limit theorem for greater than 20 sessions.8 In the current analysis, an additional test of
significance, the Fisher Chi-square technique, has been added to supplement the probability
associated wit h average p-value for a given series.
The overall p-values given for each viewer's series as shown in
Tables 1 through 4 were calculated using the Fisher Chi-square technique.
Averaging all p-values for all sessions yielded p(avg.) = 0.3437. Using
the central-limit theorem, the probability associated with that average
value is p :5 0.004. Using the Fisher Chi-square method, a p-value of
0.0036 was calculated for all 24 sessions, indicating good agreement
between techniques. We observed that three out of the four viewers
independently produced significant results, This outcome is an extremely
rare event. If the probability of success is p < 0.05, the binomial
probability of obtaining three out of four successful results is p :!E~
0.00048. These individual and overall results are substantially better
than achieved in the FY 1984 study.3
12
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